Markets & Economy

Geopolitical tensions and supply constraints are impacting energy markets. Russian diesel restrictions, continued Ukrainian strikes on refineries, and evolving U.S. policy signals have tightened supply, contributing to Brent trading above $70/b for the first time since early August. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Despite stepped-up Ukrainian strikes and fresh EU measures aimed at curbing Russian oil exports, Brent continues to trade in the $65–$70 range. Market sentiment remains cautious, with limited signs of momentum ahead of the September OPEC+ meeting. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Recent geopolitical events, including the Israeli attack on Doha and Russian drones entering Polish airspace, have influenced energy markets. On the other hand, the International Energy Agency's (IEA) latest report suggest a potential surplus. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

The eight core OPEC+ members have agreed to a modest increase in oil output for October, surprising markets after recent cuts. As production dynamics shift, the implications for global supply and pricing are significant. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Despite ongoing market uncertainties, Brent continues to trade around $68/b. The recent meeting between India, China, and Russia signals a unified front against US sanctions, while the upcoming OPEC+ meeting is unlikely to result in significant policy changes. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Oil prices rally on worries about Russian oil exports in view of the imminent increase in tariffs on India, which aim to dissuade India from buying in Russian oil Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Following their meeting after market close on Friday, initial uncertainty about the outcomes has shifted to optimism, with Russia agreeing to provide Ukraine with security guarantees. As markets react to this development, attention turns to the complexities of negotiations and their potential impact on oil, gas, and electricity prices. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

With Trump's deadline for a Russian ceasefire passing, Brent crude fell to $65.50/b, indicating market speculation about potential deals. As focus shifts back to rising OPEC+ output and summer demand, the implications for global oil and gas markets remain uncertain. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

OPEC+ has officially decided to unwind the remaining voluntary cuts, which aligns with recent market trends. This move, combined with the latest developments in US tariffs, has significant implications for oil supply and pricing. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Oil prices have edged higher following the recent EU trade agreement with the US, which prevents the imposition of higher tariffs. While details are still being finalized, the agreement is seen as a positive step for oil markets, with OPEC+ members set to meet next weekend to discuss September production. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Oil prices have stayed relatively stable over the past week, strengthening slightly following the announcement of fresh EU sanctions on Russia. Key developments include a new cap on Russian oil prices and expanded sanctions targeting the financial sector, raising questions about the market's response to looming US tariffs. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Brent prices strengthened last week despite ongoing geopolitical risks, as the IEA adjusted its 2025 and 2026 demand forecasts and highlighted a surplus in the market. Meanwhile, developments in US trade policy and a shift in Trump's stance on Russia add further complexity to the outlook for oil prices. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Eight OPEC+ members met over the weekend and agreed to a production increase of 548 kb/d for August, surpassing previous monthly increases. While this decision comes as a surprise to the market, the actual impact on supply may be limited due to several members already exceeding their targets. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

After a tumultuous few weeks, energy markets have calmed down. With supply risks from the Middle East seemingly dissipated, the focus now shifts back to concerns over weak demand growth and the potential impact of US tariffs on energy markets. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice Investec

The US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz have raised alarms in the oil and gas markets. Disruptions could lead to higher prices, with markets reacting to these emerging risks. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

The conflict between Israel and Iran has intensified, impacting gas supplies as Chevron shuts down production at the Leviathan field due to security risks. While oil supplies remain unaffected, the market is reacting with volatility, and OPEC+ may adjust its plans in response to these developments. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Brent crude oil prices have strengthened at the end of last week, despite discussions of potential production hikes from OPEC+. Factors such as limited cuts to Saudi selling prices and ongoing overproduction by several members are supporting prices, while the market remains in its current range, with the possibility of reaching $70/b if it breaks out. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

OPEC+ has agreed to increase production, setting July's output at 410 kb/d above June and 822 kb/d above the original target. Despite these increases, oil prices rose, likely due to geopolitical tensions, including strikes on Russian airfields that may affect production. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Oil prices remained stable last week despite significant news, with Brent holding around $65/b amid OPEC+ discussions and Trump's comments on EU trade. Bearish factors may lead to further declines if trade talks falter. Meanwhile, gas and power prices in Europe have risen due to maintenance outages in Norway, pushing winter gas futures to their highest levels since early April. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Recent developments on a potential Iran nuclear deal have impacted the oil market, with Brent hovering around $65/b. The IEA's report shows upward revisions in oil demand for 2024-2026, but concerns about oversupply persist, especially with the potential increase in Iranian crude later this year. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec