The Meb Faber Show

Today’s guest is Victor Haghani, founder and CIO of Elm Wealth, which focuses on managing wealth with an emphasis on diversification, low fees, and tax efficiency. He’s also the author of The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions. In today’s episode, Victor explores the Crystal Ball challenge, and how position sizing can be even more important than knowing tomorrow’s news headlines. He also addresses the role of disciplined asset allocation in investment strategy, and how foreign stocks might stack up against US equities going forward. Finally, Victor touches on the relationship between expected return, fair value, and mean reversion, and whether or not the markets have a fair value at all. (0:00) Starts (1:45) Introduction of Victor Haghani (2:01) "Tomorrow's Newspaper Today" study (11:46) The Merton share (19:34) Elm Wealth's asset allocation strategy (24:02) Behavioral and tax implications in investing (39:19) Market timing models (56:01) Consumer behavior and Roth IRA conver

Today’s guests are Rob Arnott, founder and Chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, and Campbell Harvey, Head of Research at Research Affiliates and Professor of Finance at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. In today’s episode, Rob and Cam touch on the state of value investing in a megacap dominated market, emphasizing the potential consequences of large scale passive investing. They also touch on the rapid change presented by AI, what it may be capable of, and its impacts on how we should view investing. Finally, they address the global investing environment and macro trends, instability, and the role of government in changing world markets. (0:00) Starts (1:46) Introduction of Rob Arnott & Cam Harvey (7:35) Passive investing risks (14:22) The opportunity in small caps and foreign markets (24:22) Similarities between today & the Dot-Com era (34:43) REITs, gold and investor sentiment (47:14) Government spending & US national debt concerns (1:03:27) US debt service, defense spending

Today we’re joined by Whitney Baker, founder of Totem Macro and one of the sharpest minds in macro investing. Whitney was previously the head of Emerging Markets at Bridgewater Associates and worked at  Soros Fund Management under current Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. In today’s episode, Whitney discusses the current macroeconomic landscape, emphasizing the end of the ‘buy the dip’ mentality and the unique challenges the U.S. faces as the bubble finally comes to an end. She touches on the challenges and opportunities in emerging markets, the impact of tariffs & AI on global growth dynamics, and ‘The Triple Yasu’ phenomenon. Finally, Whitney addresses the role of gold in investment portfolios, advocating for its inclusion as a hedge against currency debasement and economic uncertainty. (0:00) Starts (1:21) Introduction of Whitney Baker (3:05) Global macro landscape (10:12) US debt dynamics (18:26) Market shifts, potential solutions, and foreign investment dynamics (23:31) AI's impact on productivity

Today’s guest is Kim Flynn, President of XA Investments, which helps provide access to alternative investments. She was previously the Head of Product Development for Nuveen Investments Global Structured Products Group. In today’s episode, Meb and Kim discuss the democratization of alternative investments in relation to the recent explosion of interval funds. Then, Kim covers the challenges and opportunities in the interval fund space, and the potential for innovation with different asset classes, and best practices for advisors and investors interested in these products. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Introduction of Kim Flynn (1:47) Understanding interval funds (8:41) Future trends and innovation in closed-end and interval funds (15:38) Valuation and liquidity concerns in interval funds (20:19) Accessibility and indexation of interval funds for retail investors (30:36) Exploring farmland and "forever fund" concepts (32:49) Private credit, venture capital, and sector-specific interval fund potential (38:16)

Today’s guest is Cole Wilcox, CIO of Longboard Asset Management, a boutique asset manager specializing in alternative investment strategies. In today’s episode, Cole walks through one of my favorite papers of all time, Does Trend-Following Still Work On Stocks? Hint: it does. Cole explains why you have to be a good loser to be a good investor, how power laws dominate the stock market, and the set up for trend following going forward. (0:00) Starts (1:46) Introduction of guest Cole Wilcox (3:19) Cole's career and the basics of trend following (7:43) Original paper on trend following (25:26) Non-correlated investments and trade profitability in trend following (32:14) Handling market corrections (36:24) Tax efficiency and stop-loss benefits (39:01) The importance of holding winners (43:26) Bitcoin (55:03) Cole's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or vi

Today’s guest is Alex Wright, Global Wealth Strategist at Apollo. In today’s episode, Alex discusses the fragility of public markets, citing high valuations, rising correlations, and limited diversification opportunities, which prompt a need to reassess traditional 60/40 portfolios. Then he walks through the opportunity in private markets, including private equity, private credit and infrastructure. Alex explains why private assets can offer a potential pathway to enhanced diversification and capture opportunities in an expanding and evolving investment universe. (0:00) Starts (1:58) Alex's market overview and economic outlook (4:08) Public market valuation (15:07) Private markets potential (24:42) Private equity and credit opportunities (36:37) Comparison of public and private opportunities (40:16) Infrastructure investment opportunities (42:26) Alex's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on⁠ X⁠,⁠ LinkedIn⁠ and⁠ YouTube⁠ For detailed show notes, click ⁠here⁠ To learn more about our fund

Today’s guest is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Global Chief Economist at BCG and author Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. In today’s episode, Philipp starts by sharing his framework to assess macroeconomic risk, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing global conditions. Then he applies that framework to the world today and shares his view on tariffs and changing trade relations, the impact of AI on labor and the deflationary effects of technology. He also covers global currencies, including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Starts (1:07) Rejecting the master model mentality (3:34) The allure of doom (8:08) Historical recession risk frameworks (14:00) Public debt, balance sheets, and global tariff impacts (19:41) Sentiment indicators (24:41) Wealth distribution in different regions (28:44) AI's impact on labor (33:05) De-dollarization (40:02) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and You

Today’s episode features the most memorable investments from Jeremy Grantham, John Arnold and Sam Zell. (0:00) Starts (0:53) Jeremy Grantham (5:25) John Arnold (8:24) Sam Zell To listen to the full episodes, click the links below: Jeremy Grantham I: Apple, Spotify, YouTube Jeremy Grantham II: Apple, Spotify, YouTube John Arnold: Apple, Spotify, YouTube Sam Zell: Apple, Spotify, YouTube ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that h

Today’s guest is Carl Kawaja, a Portfolio Manager with Capital Group for over three decades. In today’s episode, Carl shares insights into his investment philosophy, early experiences, and the current market landscape. He discusses the transformative impact of AI on semiconductor demand, the challenges posed by tariffs and supply chain dynamics, and the evolving landscape of sports gambling. Carl also reflects on the enduring value of certain companies, particularly in the context of evolving market conditions. (0:00) Starts (1:46) Intro (8:04) Compounding investments (13:47) Global investment insights (21:35) Market sentiment and trade policy discussions (28:01) Emerging markets (32:11) Tech, AI, and healthcare (37:34) Sports gaming industry (51:42) Biotech and healthcare investment opportunities (57:00) Carl's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at camb

Today’s guest is Paul Donovan, Chief Economist of UBS Global Wealth Management. In today’s episode, Paul discusses the impact of structural changes in the economy, particularly in relation to flexible working and demographic shifts. The discussion also touches on the disparities in innovation between the US and Europe, the ongoing trend of spending on experiences rather than goods, and the role of AI in enhancing productivity. (0:00) Starts (2:37) Economic uncertainty, tariffs, and inflation (12:41) Consumer behavior & spending trends, and perceptions (18:22) Japan's economic shifts and demographic challenges (21:38) Reliability issues in economic data and surveys (31:44) Bad economic policies (38:36) The role of the dollar in the global financial system (44:41) Investment perspectives Recorded April 2, 2025 ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sp

Today’s guest is Francois Rochon, the President of Giverny Capital, which has returned over 15% per year for over 30 years. In today’s episode, Francois walks through the influence of Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett on his investment philosophy. He highlights three principles that have helped him navigate market cycles in his career: patience, humility and rationality. We also walk through some of the lessons learned from his investment mistakes, which he highlights in his annual letters. (0:00) Starts (0:48) Introducing Francois Rochon (5:15) Tech bubble lessons (10:13) Investment mistakes (18:01) The real expenses of stock-based compensation (25:01) Focus on company fundamentals in the long-run (34:40) Evaluating Berkshire Hathaway (41:43) Cryptocurrencies and value investing in art (53:12) Handling bear markets (56:42) Francois' most memorable investments ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing l

Today’s guest is Mark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer of UBS Global Wealth Management, where he advises on over $4 trillion. He’s also the author of ‘The New Rules of Investing.’ In today’s episode, Mark emphasizes the significant role of government spending in shaping investment decisions. He touches on the importance of asset allocation and discusses the challenges of generational wealth transfer. Mark also introduces the concept of the three L’s—liquidity, longevity, and legacy—as a framework for effective portfolio management. (0:35) Introduction of Mark Haefele (2:30) The 5 D's: debt, deglobalization, digitization, decarbonization, and demographics (11:46) Lessons from past financial crises (15:18) Government intervention and the economy (16:05) The 3 L's: liquidity, longevity, and legacy (20:54) Behavioral finance and asset allocation (27:05) Challenges in multi-generational wealth preservation (36:20) Current global investment landscape (40:26) De-dollarization (46:05) Balancing personal beliefs with

Today’s guest is Christopher Zook, founder and Chief Investment Officer of CAZ Investments, which has invested $8 billion and is one of the top 180 allocators to private equity in the world. In today’s episode, Christopher explains what led him to build his firm with a focus on private markets. He walks through some of the investment themes he’s focused on: GP stakes, professional sports franchises and digital disruption. He also addresses how he mitigates risk and handles illiquidity with each theme. (0:00) Starts (1:42) Introduction of Christopher Zook (2:04) Investment quotes (5:12) CAZ Investments' focus (9:52) Private equity & GP stakes (27:51) Sports investments (39:47) Emerging themes in private equity and energy sector opportunities (45:39) Christopher's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables f

Today’s guest is Barry Ritholtz, CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, which manages over $5.7 billion for 3,900 families. His latest book, ‘How Not to Invest,’ offers a blueprint to help you make better decisions and achieve financial success. In today’s episode, Barry & I discuss the pitfalls of relying on experts for investment advice, the dangers of panic selling, the allure of following investment gurus, and the value of meaningful experiences over material possessions. (0:00) Starts (1:34) Introduction of Barry Ritholtz (3:37) Barry's experience hosting Masters in Business (8:17) The danger of trusting experts (22:14) The importance of fiduciary advice (27:30) Mental accounting and regret minimization (33:36) Overconfidence, risk, and uncertainty (44:50) Navigating market crises (51:15) The future of Ritholtz Wealth Management (57:24) Barry's take on AI (1:03:27) Barry's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds a

Today’s guest is Aaron Froug, founder of Grifin, the company that helps you buy stock where you shop. In today’s episode, Aaron explains how the app connects everyday spending with investing by automatically buying stock in a company you make a purchase from. Meb & Aaron also touch on financial literacy, the benefits of consumer loyalty, and the future for the company. New users earn a $25 bonus by using the code INVEST. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Sponsor: YCharts (1:42) Introduction of Aaron Froug (3:24) Griffin app overview (7:00) Simplifying the investment process (11:33) User demographics (17:14) Shareholder perks (20:28) Grifin's origin story (24:38) Customer feedback and marketing strategies (29:00) Brand partnerships ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better co

Today’s guest is Jacqueline Faber, the author of The Department … and Meb’s wife! In today’s special episode, Meb & Jacqueline discuss the book’s themes, including trauma, memory, and the impact of the Kitty Genovese case. They both talk about how they approach the writing process, the art of getting noticed in a crowded market, and how to engage your audience with unreasonable hospitality. Be sure to get a copy of The Department today and leave a review! (0:00) Starts (1:05) Introducing Jacqueline Faber & "The Department" (11:17) Personal stories (16:46) Advice for authors (24:53) Marketing insights and business strategies (30:26) Dealing with feedback (34:05) Creative processes (43:33) Engaging listeners (44:52) Audiobook sample of "The Department" ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- In

In today’s Mebisode, Meb reads his latest paper, “Can We All Invest Like Yale?” ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). ----- The information set forth herein is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax or lega

Today’s guest is Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs’ Chief Global Equity Strategist and Head of Macro Research. He’s also the author of Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycles in Markets, which explains how cycles help explain investor returns. In today’s episode, Peter discusses how structural changes in macroeconomic drivers, geopolitics, government policy and social attitudes all combine to drive secular super cycles that help to explain investor returns. Then he focuses on what he calls the Post-Modern Cycle and how AI and de-carbonization may impact financial market returns and opportunities. Throughout the episode, Peter emphasizes the need for diversification in investment strategies to both manage risk and enhance returns. (0:00) Starts (1:02) Introduction of Peter Oppenheimer (2:22) The Four Phases of the Equity Cycle (10:17) Thoughts on The US Market Today (17:23) European Banks vs. US Tech Stocks (20:32) Diversification and Sector Dominance in Equity Markets (23:35) Long-term Structur

Today’s guest is Chuck Clough, Chief Investment Officer of Clough Capital. Chuck is well known from his time as the Chief Global Investment Strategist at Merrill Lynch until 2000 and has spent over six decades in finance. In today’s episode, Chuck shares insights from his illustrious career, reflecting on the challenges of the 1970s and the market crash of 1987. Chuck explains what it was like to be bearish during the dot-com bubble and watch Cisco go up 6x after he turned bearish, only to then decline by 95%. He compares the current stock market to the dot-com bubble, talks about the impact of AI on various sectors, and finishes with lessons from working alongside legends like Bob Farrell & Richard Bernstein. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Sponsor: Farmland LP (1:40) Introduction of Chuck Clough (5:14) 1970s inflation (11:57) Comparing the 1999 dot-com bubble to today (14:08) Predictions for AI companies (24:13) Clough Capital and views on China (28:09) Interest rates, inflation, and demographics (33:09) Savings, inve

Today’s guest is Jim Masturzo. Jim is the CIO of Multi-Asset Strategies at Research Affiliates and is responsible for the firm’s tactical asset allocation and cross-asset portfolios. He is also co-portfolio manager on the PIMCO All Asset and All Asset All Authority funds. In today’s episode, Jim & I discuss the evolving landscape of asset allocation. He highlights the fragility of US markets amid high valuations, the divergence between China & India, and why private equity expectations may not align with public equity fundamentals. He also explores the current landscape of fixed income and explains why he thinks the impact of AI on productivity may not be as positive as expected. P.S. – do you know the origin of the 60/40 portfolio? Shoot us a message at feedback@themebfabershow.com. ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X